The options market is pricing a ±2.7% (±$6.93) move for ABBV's 2026-07-31 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, ABBV has actually moved ±3.6% on average (biggest: ±6.4%). That's a 1.35× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — ABBV has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +1.5%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 2.62 | 2.65 | beat | ±4.1% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-04 | 2.66 | 2.71 | beat | ±3.9% | -3.8% | -1.4% |
| 2025-10-31 | 1.77 | 1.86 | beat | ±3.4% | -4.5% | -4% |
| 2025-07-31 | 2.89 | 2.97 | beat | ±4.1% | -0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2025-04-25 | 2.39 | 2.46 | beat | ±4.1% | +3.2% | +7.2% |
| 2025-01-31 | 2.13 | 2.16 | beat | ±3.7% | +4.7% | +9.9% |
| 2024-10-30 | 2.92 | 3.00 | beat | ±3.3% | +6.4% | +6.5% |
| 2024-07-25 | 2.57 | 2.65 | beat | ±3.4% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
ABBV is scheduled to report on 2026-07-31, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±2.7% (±$6.93) for ABBV's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, ABBV has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, ABBV moved ±3.6% on average versus a ±2.7% implied move — a 1.35× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See ABBV's positioning too: ABBV gamma exposure → · ABBV options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
