The options market is pricing a — move for GOOGL's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, GOOGL has actually moved ±4.1% on average (biggest: ±10%). That's a 0.79× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — GOOGL has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +0.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 2.87 | 9.11 | beat | ±4.9% | -7.1% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | 2.64 | 5.11 | beat | ±4.7% | +10% | +13.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | 2.58 | 2.82 | beat | ±5.5% | -0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | 2.26 | 2.87 | beat | ±5.5% | +2.5% | +3.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | 2.15 | 2.31 | beat | ±4.8% | +1% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 | 2.02 | 2.81 | beat | ±5.1% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-04 | 2.12 | 2.15 | beat | ±5.6% | -7.3% | -10.2% |
| 2024-10-29 | 1.83 | 2.12 | beat | ±5.6% | +2.8% | +0% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
GOOGL is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show GOOGL's live.
Over its last 8 reports, GOOGL has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, GOOGL moved ±4.1% on average versus a ±5.2% implied move — a 0.79× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See GOOGL's positioning too: GOOGL gamma exposure → · GOOGL options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
