The options market is pricing a — move for AVGO's 2026-09-03 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, AVGO has actually moved ±10.8% on average (biggest: ±24.4%). That's a 1.76× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — AVGO has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 75% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +1%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | 2.40 | 2.17 | miss | ±7.5% | -12.6% | -22.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | 2.04 | 1.76 | miss | ±6.5% | +4.8% | +7.6% |
| 2025-12-11 | 1.87 | 1.61 | miss | ±5.6% | -11.4% | -18.8% |
| 2025-09-04 | 1.66 | 1.26 | miss | ±4.7% | +9.4% | +17.5% |
| 2025-06-05 | 1.57 | 1.33 | miss | ±5.6% | -5% | -1.5% |
| 2025-03-06 | 1.50 | 1.60 | beat | ±7.8% | +8.6% | +6.6% |
| 2024-12-12 | 1.39 | 1.42 | beat | ±6.4% | +24.4% | +20.8% |
| 2024-09-05 | 1.20 | 1.24 | beat | ±5.3% | -10.4% | +7.7% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
AVGO is scheduled to report on 2026-09-03, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show AVGO's live.
Over its last 8 reports, AVGO has beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, AVGO moved ±10.8% on average versus a ±6.2% implied move — a 1.76× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 75% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See AVGO's positioning too: AVGO gamma exposure → · AVGO options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
