The options market is pricing a — move for AMD's 2026-11-03 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, AMD has actually moved ±8.8% on average (biggest: ±18.6%). That's a 1.27× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — AMD has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 38% of the time (avg -3.1%).
Longer run: across all 19 reports on record (since 2020-01-28), the options overpriced AMD's move 47% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.02× the implied (mean implied ±7%, mean actual ±7.5%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1.61 | 1.44 | miss | ±6.8% | -7% | -8.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | 1.30 | 1.11 | miss | ±7.4% | +18.6% | +26.2% |
| 2026-02-03 | 1.32 | 1.24 | miss | ±6.9% | -17.3% | -11.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | 1.17 | 0.97 | miss | ±6.2% | +2.5% | -5% |
| 2025-08-05 | 0.47 | 0.27 | miss | ±7% | -6.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | 0.93 | 0.78 | miss | ±6.9% | +1.8% | +14% |
| 2025-02-04 | 1.07 | 0.88 | miss | ±7.5% | -6.3% | -7% |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.91 | 0.76 | miss | ±7% | -10.6% | -14.8% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
AMD is scheduled to report on 2026-11-03, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show AMD's live.
Over its last 8 reports, AMD has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, AMD moved ±8.8% on average versus a ±7% implied move — a 1.27× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See AMD's positioning too: AMD gamma exposure → · AMD options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
