The options market is pricing a ±8.7% (±$42.08) move for AMD's 2026-08-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, AMD has actually moved ±8.5% on average (biggest: ±18.6%). That's a 0.98× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — AMD's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 50% of the time (avg -1.7%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 1.30 | 1.11 | miss | ±7.4% | +18.6% | +26.2% |
| 2026-02-03 | 1.32 | 1.24 | miss | ±6.9% | -17.3% | -11.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | 1.17 | 0.97 | miss | ±6.2% | +2.5% | -5% |
| 2025-08-05 | 0.47 | 0.27 | miss | ±7% | -6.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | 0.93 | 0.78 | miss | ±6.9% | +1.8% | +14% |
| 2025-02-04 | 1.07 | 0.88 | miss | ±7.5% | -6.3% | -7% |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.91 | 0.76 | miss | ±7% | -10.6% | -14.8% |
| 2024-07-30 | 0.67 | 0.50 | miss | ±7.4% | +4.4% | -6% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
AMD is scheduled to report on 2026-08-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±8.7% (±$42.08) for AMD's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, AMD has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, AMD moved ±8.5% on average versus a ±8.7% implied move — a 0.98× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See AMD's positioning too: AMD gamma exposure → · AMD options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
