The options market is pricing a ±6.4% (±$9.72) move for ABNB's 2026-08-06 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, ABNB has actually moved ±6.4% on average (biggest: ±14.4%). That's a 1× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — ABNB's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 63% of the time (avg -1.1%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 0.31 | 0.26 | miss | ±5.8% | +0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | 0.66 | 0.56 | miss | ±6.7% | +4.6% | +8.5% |
| 2025-11-06 | 2.29 | 2.21 | miss | ±7.5% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.93 | 1.03 | beat | ±6.5% | -8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.25 | 0.24 | miss | ±6.8% | +1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-13 | 0.59 | 0.73 | beat | ±7.7% | +14.4% | +10.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | 2.17 | 2.13 | miss | ±8% | -8.7% | -8.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | 0.92 | 0.86 | miss | ±6.9% | -13.4% | -10.4% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
ABNB is scheduled to report on 2026-08-06, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±6.4% (±$9.72) for ABNB's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, ABNB has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, ABNB moved ±6.4% on average versus a ±6.4% implied move — a 1× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See ABNB's positioning too: ABNB gamma exposure → · ABNB options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
