The options market is pricing a ±13.6% (±$0.65) move for ACHR's 2026-08-10 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, ACHR has actually moved ±10.4% on average (biggest: ±22.9%). That's a 0.76× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — ACHR has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +3%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | -0.25 | -0.28 | miss | ±10.7% | -2.3% | -9.5% |
| 2026-03-02 | -0.17 | -0.26 | miss | ±10.5% | -10.6% | -13.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | -0.20 | -0.20 | inline | ±7.9% | -7.9% | -10.4% |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.19 | -0.36 | miss | ±11.9% | +7.4% | +3.2% |
| 2025-05-12 | -0.21 | -0.17 | beat | ±10.9% | +22.9% | +25.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | -0.24 | -0.53 | miss | ±9.2% | +12.1% | -4.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.24 | -0.29 | miss | ±7.3% | +11.1% | +22.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.28 | -0.31 | miss | ±7.4% | -8.8% | -6.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
ACHR is scheduled to report on 2026-08-10, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±13.6% (±$0.65) for ACHR's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, ACHR has beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, ACHR moved ±10.4% on average versus a ±13.6% implied move — a 0.76× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See ACHR's positioning too: ACHR gamma exposure → · ACHR options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
