The options market is pricing a ±13.4% (±$9.83) move for AFRM's 2026-08-27 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, AFRM has actually moved ±13% on average (biggest: ±31.9%). That's a 0.97× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — AFRM's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +6%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 0.17 | 0.30 | beat | ±9.1% | -5% | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.28 | 0.37 | beat | ±11% | -4% | -16.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.11 | 0.23 | beat | ±10.6% | +11.6% | +10.9% |
| 2025-08-28 | 0.11 | 0.20 | beat | ±10.8% | +10.6% | +12.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | -0.08 | 0.01 | beat | ±11.2% | -14.5% | -4.6% |
| 2025-02-06 | -0.20 | 0.23 | beat | ±11.7% | +21.8% | +28.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.36 | -0.31 | beat | ±13.6% | -4.7% | +9.1% |
| 2024-08-28 | -0.45 | -0.14 | beat | ±12.7% | +31.9% | +27.4% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
AFRM is scheduled to report on 2026-08-27, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±13.4% (±$9.83) for AFRM's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, AFRM has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, AFRM moved ±13% on average versus a ±13.4% implied move — a 0.97× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See AFRM's positioning too: AFRM gamma exposure → · AFRM options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
