The options market is pricing a — move for APP's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, APP has actually moved ±17.6% on average (biggest: ±46.3%). That's a 1.49× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — APP has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 75% of the time (avg +7.7%).
Longer run: across all 19 reports on record (since 2022-02-16), the options overpriced APP's move 37% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.4× the implied (mean implied ±12.7%, mean actual ±18.3%), so on this longer sample the options screen cheap. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 3.72 | 3.76 | beat | ±9.7% | -19.7% | -27.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | 3.40 | 3.56 | beat | ±10.2% | +6.4% | -3.3% |
| 2026-02-11 | 2.89 | 3.24 | beat | ±12.5% | -19.7% | -11.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | 2.37 | 2.45 | beat | ±9.4% | +0.7% | -5.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.99 | 2.26 | beat | ±12.2% | +12% | +14.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | 1.45 | 1.67 | beat | ±15.1% | +11.9% | +24.1% |
| 2025-02-12 | 1.34 | 1.73 | beat | ±14.7% | +24% | +29.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | 0.95 | 1.25 | beat | ±10.7% | +46.3% | +68.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
APP is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show APP's live.
Over its last 8 reports, APP has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, APP moved ±17.6% on average versus a ±11.8% implied move — a 1.49× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See APP's positioning too: APP gamma exposure → · APP options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
