The options market is pricing a ±20.6% (±$0.41) move for BITF's 2026-05-13 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, BITF has actually moved ±11.2% on average (biggest: ±22%). That's a 0.54× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — BITF has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 57% of the time (7 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +0.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | -0.04 | — | — | ±13.4% | +6% | — |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.02 | -0.02 | inline | ±12.1% | -18% | -18% |
| 2025-08-12 | -0.01 | -0.02 | miss | ±24.9% | +3.3% | +12.2% |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.04 | -0.04 | inline | ±11.6% | -6% | -3.4% |
| 2025-03-27 | -0.04 | 0.03 | beat | ±10.3% | -3.5% | -13.1% |
| 2024-11-13 | -0.12 | -0.09 | beat | ±14.2% | -15.8% | -17.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.11 | -0.07 | beat | ±10.1% | +22% | +18.3% |
| 2024-05-15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | beat | ±11.9% | +14.9% | +16.1% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
BITF is scheduled to report on 2026-05-13, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±20.6% (±$0.41) for BITF's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 7 reports, BITF has beaten EPS estimates 57% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, BITF moved ±11.2% on average versus a ±20.6% implied move — a 0.54× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See BITF's positioning too: BITF gamma exposure → · BITF options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
