The options market is pricing a ±7.5% (±$19.79) move for CEG's 2026-08-06 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, CEG has actually moved ±5% on average (biggest: ±12.5%). That's a 0.66× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — CEG has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +1.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | 2.56 | 2.74 | beat | ±6.5% | -1.3% | -12% |
| 2026-02-24 | 2.20 | 2.30 | beat | ±3.8% | +4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-11-07 | 3.04 | 3.04 | inline | ±4.9% | +2% | -4.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | 1.83 | 1.91 | beat | ±5.6% | -0.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-06 | 2.14 | 2.14 | inline | ±6.3% | +10.3% | +14.9% |
| 2025-02-25 | 2.19 | 2.44 | beat | — | +2.2% | -12.4% |
| 2024-11-04 | 2.72 | 2.74 | beat | ±7.9% | -12.5% | -7.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | 1.43 | 1.68 | beat | ±10.1% | +6.5% | +10.2% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
CEG is scheduled to report on 2026-08-06, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±7.5% (±$19.79) for CEG's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, CEG has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, CEG moved ±5% on average versus a ±7.5% implied move — a 0.66× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See CEG's positioning too: CEG gamma exposure → · CEG options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
