The options market is pricing a — move for CMG's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, CMG has actually moved ±7.6% on average (biggest: ±18.2%). That's a 1.01× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — CMG's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 50% of the time (avg -2.9%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 0.32 | 0.33 | beat | ±6.7% | +12.5% | — |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.24 | 0.24 | inline | ±8.8% | +3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.24 | 0.25 | beat | ±8.8% | +1.9% | -1.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.28 | 0.29 | beat | ±9.1% | -18.2% | -19.6% |
| 2025-07-23 | 0.32 | 0.33 | beat | ±5.6% | -13.3% | -17.1% |
| 2025-04-23 | 0.28 | 0.29 | beat | ±7% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-04 | 0.24 | 0.25 | beat | ±6.9% | -2.6% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.25 | 0.27 | beat | ±7.5% | -7.9% | -7.1% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
CMG is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show CMG's live.
Over its last 8 reports, CMG has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, CMG moved ±7.6% on average versus a ±7.5% implied move — a 1.01× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See CMG's positioning too: CMG gamma exposure → · CMG options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
