The options market is pricing a ±12.6% (±$33.9) move for DDOG's 2026-08-06 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, DDOG has actually moved ±10.5% on average (biggest: ±31.3%). That's a 0.83× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — DDOG has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 75% of the time (avg +8.3%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 0.50 | 0.17 | miss | ±11% | +31.3% | +42.9% |
| 2026-02-10 | 0.55 | 0.15 | miss | ±12.1% | +13.7% | — |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.45 | 0.11 | miss | ±9% | +23.1% | +23.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.41 | 0.06 | miss | ±7.3% | -0.4% | -6% |
| 2025-05-06 | 0.42 | 0.08 | miss | ±9.8% | +0.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-13 | 0.43 | 0.13 | miss | ±7.9% | -8.2% | -13% |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.39 | 0.15 | miss | ±8% | +1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.35 | 0.13 | miss | ±9.7% | +5.6% | +5.7% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
DDOG is scheduled to report on 2026-08-06, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±12.6% (±$33.9) for DDOG's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, DDOG has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, DDOG moved ±10.5% on average versus a ±12.6% implied move — a 0.83× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See DDOG's positioning too: DDOG gamma exposure → · DDOG options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.