The options market is pricing a — move for DIS's 2026-11-12 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, DIS has actually moved ±6.1% on average (biggest: ±10.8%). That's a 1.08× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — DIS's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +1%).
Longer run: across all 21 reports on record (since 2019-11-07), the options overpriced DIS's move 48% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.09× the implied (mean implied ±5.6%, mean actual ±5.9%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 1.88 | 2.06 | beat | ±5.1% | +3.6% | +5.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | 1.49 | 1.57 | beat | ±5.6% | +7.5% | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-02 | 1.57 | 1.63 | beat | ±5.5% | -7.4% | -3.6% |
| 2025-11-13 | 1.03 | 1.11 | beat | ±5.7% | -7.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.46 | 1.61 | beat | ±5.2% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | 1.18 | 1.45 | beat | ±5.8% | +10.8% | +20.8% |
| 2025-02-05 | 1.44 | 1.76 | beat | ±5.9% | -2.4% | -3.8% |
| 2024-11-14 | 1.09 | 1.14 | beat | ±5.7% | +6.2% | +11.2% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
DIS is scheduled to report on 2026-11-12, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show DIS's live.
Over its last 8 reports, DIS has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, DIS moved ±6.1% on average versus a ±5.6% implied move — a 1.08× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See DIS's positioning too: DIS gamma exposure → · DIS options flow →
Posting the link is enough — X, Discord and Slack render the live data card automatically.
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
