The options market is pricing a ±5.6% (±$5.42) move for DIS's 2026-08-05 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, DIS has actually moved ±6.2% on average (biggest: ±10.8%). That's a 1.09× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — DIS's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 38% of the time (avg +0%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 1.49 | 1.57 | beat | ±5.6% | +7.5% | +5.7% |
| 2026-02-02 | 1.57 | 1.63 | beat | ±5.5% | -7.4% | -3.6% |
| 2025-11-13 | 1.03 | 1.11 | beat | ±5.7% | -7.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | 1.46 | 1.61 | beat | ±5.2% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | 1.18 | 1.45 | beat | ±5.8% | +10.8% | +20.8% |
| 2025-02-05 | 1.44 | 1.76 | beat | ±5.9% | -2.4% | -3.8% |
| 2024-11-14 | 1.09 | 1.14 | beat | ±5.7% | +6.2% | +11.2% |
| 2024-08-07 | 1.20 | 1.39 | beat | ±6.4% | -4.5% | -4.9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
DIS is scheduled to report on 2026-08-05, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±5.6% (±$5.42) for DIS's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, DIS has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, DIS moved ±6.2% on average versus a ±5.6% implied move — a 1.09× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See DIS's positioning too: DIS gamma exposure → · DIS options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
