The options market is pricing a — move for FN's 2026-11-02 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, FN has actually moved ±9.2% on average (biggest: ±19.4%). That's a 0.72× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — FN has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 13% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 13% of the time (avg -8.3%).
Longer run: across all 18 reports on record (since 2022-05-02), the options overpriced FN's move 61% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.88× the implied (mean implied ±10.9%, mean actual ±10.8%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | 3.85 | 3.92 | beat | ±10.4% | -19.4% | -29.6% |
| 2026-05-04 | 3.58 | 3.48 | miss | ±14.9% | -8% | -9.5% |
| 2026-02-02 | 3.26 | 3.12 | miss | ±14.1% | -10.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | 2.83 | 2.67 | miss | ±13.2% | +3.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-18 | 2.64 | 2.43 | miss | ±13.7% | -12.8% | -4.5% |
| 2025-05-05 | 2.47 | 2.31 | miss | ±10.6% | -7.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-02-03 | 2.51 | 2.38 | miss | ±13.4% | -8.2% | -6.5% |
| 2024-11-04 | 2.39 | 2.15 | miss | ±12.5% | -3.9% | +13% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
FN is scheduled to report on 2026-11-02, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show FN's live.
Over its last 8 reports, FN has beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, FN moved ±9.2% on average versus a ±12.9% implied move — a 0.72× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 13% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See FN's positioning too: FN gamma exposure → · FN options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
