The options market is pricing a ±10.6% (±$60.62) move for FN's 2026-08-17 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, FN has actually moved ±8.7% on average (biggest: ±15.6%). That's a 0.82× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — FN has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 13% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 25% of the time (avg -3.9%).
Longer run: across all 17 reports on record (since 2022-05-02), the options overpriced FN's move 65% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.83× the implied (mean implied ±10.9%, mean actual ±10.3%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | 3.58 | 3.48 | miss | ±14.9% | -8% | -9.5% |
| 2026-02-02 | 3.26 | 3.12 | miss | ±14.1% | -10.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | 2.83 | 2.67 | miss | ±13.2% | +3.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-18 | 2.64 | 2.43 | miss | ±13.7% | -12.8% | -4.5% |
| 2025-05-05 | 2.47 | 2.31 | miss | ±10.6% | -7.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-02-03 | 2.51 | 2.38 | miss | ±13.4% | -8.2% | -6.5% |
| 2024-11-04 | 2.39 | 2.15 | miss | ±12.5% | -3.9% | +13% |
| 2024-08-19 | 2.25 | 2.22 | miss | ±14.5% | +15.6% | +8.9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
FN is scheduled to report on 2026-08-17, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±10.6% (±$60.62) for FN's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, FN has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, FN moved ±8.7% on average versus a ±10.6% implied move — a 0.82× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 13% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See FN's positioning too: FN gamma exposure → · FN options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
