The options market is pricing a — move for GM's 2026-10-20 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, GM has actually moved ±7.2% on average (biggest: ±14.9%). That's a 1.31× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — GM has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +2.7%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | 3.13 | 3.57 | beat | ±5.7% | +4.9% | +14.8% |
| 2026-04-28 | 2.61 | 3.70 | beat | ±6.6% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-01-27 | 2.20 | 2.51 | beat | ±5.3% | +8.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-10-21 | 2.25 | 2.80 | beat | ±5.3% | +14.9% | +19.6% |
| 2025-07-22 | 2.38 | 2.53 | beat | ±4.7% | -8.1% | +0.5% |
| 2025-04-29 | 2.69 | 2.78 | beat | ±5.6% | -0.6% | -3.9% |
| 2025-01-28 | 1.79 | 1.92 | beat | ±5.6% | -8.9% | -12.8% |
| 2024-10-22 | 2.49 | 2.96 | beat | ±5% | +9.8% | +7.8% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
GM is scheduled to report on 2026-10-20, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show GM's live.
Over its last 8 reports, GM has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, GM moved ±7.2% on average versus a ±5.5% implied move — a 1.31× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See GM's positioning too: GM gamma exposure → · GM options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
