The options market is pricing a — move for HOOD's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, HOOD has actually moved ±9.4% on average (biggest: ±16.7%). That's a 1.09× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — HOOD's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 13% of the time (avg -5.9%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 0.43 | 0.62 | beat | ±8.1% | -3.6% | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 0.40 | 0.38 | miss | ±7.9% | -13.2% | -6.1% |
| 2026-02-10 | 0.63 | 0.66 | beat | ±8.8% | -8.9% | -11.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.51 | 0.61 | beat | ±6.9% | -10.8% | -6.7% |
| 2025-07-30 | 0.31 | 0.42 | beat | ±7.6% | -2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.32 | 0.37 | beat | ±9.8% | -5.1% | +1.8% |
| 2025-02-12 | 0.42 | 0.54 | beat | ±10.7% | +14.1% | +5.9% |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.18 | 0.17 | miss | ±9.6% | -16.7% | +5.8% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
HOOD is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show HOOD's live.
Over its last 8 reports, HOOD has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, HOOD moved ±9.4% on average versus a ±8.7% implied move — a 1.09× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See HOOD's positioning too: HOOD gamma exposure → · HOOD options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
