The options market is pricing a — move for INTC's 2026-10-22 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, INTC has actually moved ±9.3% on average (biggest: ±23.6%). That's a 1.12× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — INTC has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 38% of the time (avg -1.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | 0.21 | 0.30 | beat | ±10.4% | -7.9% | -9.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | 0.01 | 0.17 | beat | ±8.8% | +23.6% | +41.5% |
| 2026-01-22 | 0.08 | 0.04 | miss | ±7.7% | -17% | -10.4% |
| 2025-10-23 | 0.01 | 0.11 | beat | ±7.9% | +0.3% | +5.2% |
| 2025-07-24 | 0.01 | -0.26 | miss | ±6.7% | -8.5% | -12.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | 0.01 | -0.02 | miss | ±6.7% | -6.7% | -7% |
| 2025-01-30 | 0.12 | -0.02 | miss | ±9.2% | -2.9% | -3.1% |
| 2024-10-31 | -0.03 | -0.63 | miss | ±9.4% | +7.8% | +21.9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
INTC is scheduled to report on 2026-10-22, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show INTC's live.
Over its last 8 reports, INTC has beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, INTC moved ±9.3% on average versus a ±8.3% implied move — a 1.12× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See INTC's positioning too: INTC gamma exposure → · INTC options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
