The options market is pricing a ±22.5% (±$8.62) move for IREN's 2026-08-27 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, IREN has actually moved ±10.3% on average (biggest: ±29.7%). That's a 0.46× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — IREN has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 14% of the time (7 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 75% of the time (avg +7.9%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | -0.18 | -0.25 | miss | ±11.4% | +7.7% | +2.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | -0.09 | -0.44 | miss | ±12.7% | +5.1% | +0.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.14 | -0.34 | miss | ±10.7% | -6.8% | -27.3% |
| 2025-08-28 | 0.17 | 0.08 | miss | ±10.6% | +14.9% | +13.4% |
| 2025-05-14 | 0.17 | 0.11 | miss | ±9.6% | -2.8% | +11.5% |
| 2025-02-12 | -0.04 | 0.09 | beat | ±10.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2024-11-26 | -0.11 | -0.22 | miss | ±11.1% | +29.7% | +35.3% |
| 2024-08-28 | 0.01 | — | — | ±9.7% | +14.8% | -9.4% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
IREN is scheduled to report on 2026-08-27, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±22.5% (±$8.62) for IREN's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 7 reports, IREN has beaten EPS estimates 14% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, IREN moved ±10.3% on average versus a ±22.5% implied move — a 0.46× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See IREN's positioning too: IREN gamma exposure → · IREN options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
