The options market is pricing a — move for KLAC's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, KLAC has actually moved ±5% on average (biggest: ±15.2%). That's a 0.56× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — KLAC has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 13% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 13% of the time (avg -4.8%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | 1.00 | 1.05 | beat | ±17% | -10.8% | — |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.92 | 0.09 | miss | ±9.4% | -3.6% | +0% |
| 2026-01-29 | 0.88 | 0.88 | inline | ±8.4% | -15.2% | -21% |
| 2025-10-29 | 0.85 | 0.88 | beat | ±8.7% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.85 | 0.94 | beat | ±6.2% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.81 | 0.84 | beat | ±7% | -3.8% | -1.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | 0.77 | 0.82 | beat | ±7.1% | -0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.70 | 0.73 | beat | ±7.8% | -3.7% | -3.2% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
KLAC is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show KLAC's live.
Over its last 8 reports, KLAC has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, KLAC moved ±5% on average versus a ±8.9% implied move — a 0.56× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 13% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See KLAC's positioning too: KLAC gamma exposure → · KLAC options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
