The options market is pricing a ±13% (±$1.06) move for LCID's 2026-08-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, LCID has actually moved ±4.9% on average (biggest: ±13.6%). That's a 0.37× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — LCID has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 13% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 38% of the time (avg -2.2%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | -2.72 | -3.46 | miss | ±11.4% | -1% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-24 | -2.49 | -3.62 | miss | ±10.6% | +3.6% | +1.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | -2.32 | -3.31 | miss | ±12% | +4.2% | -3.8% |
| 2025-08-05 | -2.17 | -28.00 | miss | ±12.6% | -9.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-05-06 | -2.28 | -2.40 | miss | ±14.6% | -3.4% | +13.7% |
| 2025-02-25 | -2.60 | -2.20 | beat | ±13.4% | -13.6% | -19.5% |
| 2024-11-07 | -3.23 | -4.10 | miss | ±15.3% | -0.5% | -6.3% |
| 2024-08-05 | -2.70 | -2.90 | miss | ±18% | +3% | -3.3% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
LCID is scheduled to report on 2026-08-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±13% (±$1.06) for LCID's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, LCID has beaten EPS estimates 13% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, LCID moved ±4.9% on average versus a ±13% implied move — a 0.37× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 13% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See LCID's positioning too: LCID gamma exposure → · LCID options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
