The options market is pricing a ±4.5% (±$9.92) move for LOW's 2026-08-19 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, LOW has actually moved ±2.6% on average (biggest: ±5.6%). That's a 0.57× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — LOW has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 50% of the time (avg -0.7%).
Longer run: across all 19 reports on record (since 2019-11-20), the options overpriced LOW's move 68% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.55× the implied (mean implied ±4%, mean actual ±2.7%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | 2.96 | 3.03 | beat | ±4.2% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | 1.95 | 1.98 | beat | ±3.3% | -5.6% | -7.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | 2.97 | 3.06 | beat | ±3.4% | +4% | +8.4% |
| 2025-08-20 | 4.23 | 4.33 | beat | ±3.1% | +0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-05-21 | 2.88 | 2.92 | beat | ±3.4% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2025-02-26 | 1.83 | 1.93 | beat | ±3.6% | +1.9% | -1% |
| 2024-11-19 | 2.82 | 2.89 | beat | ±3.2% | -4.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-08-20 | 3.96 | 4.10 | beat | ±3.6% | -1.2% | +3% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
LOW is scheduled to report on 2026-08-19, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±4.5% (±$9.92) for LOW's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, LOW has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, LOW moved ±2.6% on average versus a ±4.5% implied move — a 0.57× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See LOW's positioning too: LOW gamma exposure → · LOW options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
