The options market is pricing a — move for LRCX's 2027-01-27 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, LRCX has actually moved ±7.3% on average (biggest: ±18%). That's a 1.23× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — LRCX has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +2.6%).
Longer run: across all 69 reports on record (since 2007-01-17), the options overpriced LRCX's move 74% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.58× the implied (mean implied ±6.2%, mean actual ±4.5%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 2.17 | 2.20 | beat | ±6.1% | -11.8% | -2.7% |
| 2026-07-29 | 1.69 | 1.82 | beat | ±7.9% | +18% | +21.8% |
| 2026-04-22 | 1.36 | 1.47 | beat | ±6% | -2.6% | -6.3% |
| 2026-01-28 | 1.17 | 1.27 | beat | ±6.2% | +3.6% | -12.4% |
| 2025-10-22 | 1.22 | 1.26 | beat | ±5.2% | +4.5% | +13.7% |
| 2025-07-30 | 1.20 | 1.33 | beat | ±4.8% | -4.3% | -3.2% |
| 2025-04-23 | 1.00 | 1.04 | beat | ±5.4% | +6.2% | +7.4% |
| 2025-01-29 | 0.87 | 0.91 | beat | ±5.7% | +7.4% | +9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
LRCX is scheduled to report on 2027-01-27, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show LRCX's live.
Over its last 8 reports, LRCX has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, LRCX moved ±7.3% on average versus a ±5.9% implied move — a 1.23× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See LRCX's positioning too: LRCX gamma exposure → · LRCX options flow →
Posting the link is enough — X, Discord and Slack render the live data card automatically.
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
