The options market is pricing a ±9.3% (±$7) move for MCHP's 2026-08-06 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MCHP has actually moved ±5.5% on average (biggest: ±12.6%). That's a 0.59× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — MCHP has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 13% of the time (avg -2.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 0.50 | 0.44 | miss | ±7.7% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.43 | 0.33 | miss | ±5.2% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.33 | 0.26 | miss | ±7.2% | -5.2% | -7.6% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.24 | 0.17 | miss | ±6.7% | -6.6% | -0.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.10 | 0.04 | miss | ±5.7% | +12.6% | +23.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | 0.28 | 0.13 | miss | ±6% | -2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2024-11-05 | 0.43 | 0.38 | miss | ±7.1% | -1.8% | -10.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.52 | 0.47 | miss | ±7.5% | -10.6% | -8.4% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MCHP is scheduled to report on 2026-08-06, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±9.3% (±$7) for MCHP's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, MCHP has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MCHP moved ±5.5% on average versus a ±9.3% implied move — a 0.59× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MCHP's positioning too: MCHP gamma exposure → · MCHP options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
