The options market is pricing a — move for MCHP's 2026-11-05 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MCHP has actually moved ±5.9% on average (biggest: ±13.9%). That's a 0.9× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — MCHP's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 25% of the time (avg +0.7%).
Longer run: across all 20 reports on record (since 2019-11-05), the options overpriced MCHP's move 70% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.54× the implied (mean implied ±7.7%, mean actual ±5.2%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 0.70 | 0.61 | miss | ±7.1% | +13.9% | +4.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.50 | 0.44 | miss | ±7.7% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.43 | 0.33 | miss | ±5.2% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.33 | 0.26 | miss | ±7.2% | -5.2% | -7.6% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.24 | 0.17 | miss | ±6.7% | -6.6% | -0.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.10 | 0.04 | miss | ±5.7% | +12.6% | +23.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | 0.28 | 0.13 | miss | ±6% | -2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2024-11-05 | 0.43 | 0.38 | miss | ±7.1% | -1.8% | -10.4% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MCHP is scheduled to report on 2026-11-05, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show MCHP's live.
Over its last 8 reports, MCHP has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MCHP moved ±5.9% on average versus a ±6.6% implied move — a 0.9× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MCHP's positioning too: MCHP gamma exposure → · MCHP options flow →
Posting the link is enough — X, Discord and Slack render the live data card automatically.
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
