The options market is pricing a — move for MCK's 2026-11-04 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MCK has actually moved ±4.9% on average (biggest: ±16.5%). That's a 1× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — MCK's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +2.4%).
Longer run: across all 20 reports on record (since 2019-10-30), the options overpriced MCK's move 50% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.1× the implied (mean implied ±4%, mean actual ±4.7%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 9.44 | 9.93 | beat | ±6.6% | -0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | 11.56 | 11.69 | beat | ±6.2% | -2.5% | -1% |
| 2026-02-04 | 9.31 | 9.34 | beat | ±4.4% | +16.5% | +16% |
| 2025-11-05 | 8.92 | 9.86 | beat | ±3.4% | +1.7% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-06 | 8.23 | 8.26 | beat | ±4.1% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | 9.81 | 10.12 | beat | ±4.6% | +0.5% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | 8.11 | 8.03 | miss | ±4.9% | -1.2% | -2% |
| 2024-11-06 | 6.89 | 7.07 | beat | ±5.1% | +10.6% | +13.7% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MCK is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show MCK's live.
Over its last 8 reports, MCK has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MCK moved ±4.9% on average versus a ±4.9% implied move — a 1× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MCK's positioning too: MCK gamma exposure → · MCK options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
