The options market is pricing a ±15.8% (±$51.5) move for MDB's 2026-08-25 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MDB has actually moved ±20.1% on average (biggest: ±38%). That's a 1.27× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — MDB has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 88% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +3.5%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | 1.18 | -0.45 | miss | ±14.6% | +3% | +16.7% |
| 2026-03-02 | 1.47 | 0.22 | miss | ±13.3% | -22.2% | -16.4% |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.79 | -0.08 | miss | ±10.9% | +22.2% | +27.3% |
| 2025-08-26 | 0.64 | -0.38 | miss | ±13.7% | +38% | +48.5% |
| 2025-06-04 | 0.66 | -0.33 | miss | ±11.6% | +12.8% | +5.4% |
| 2025-03-05 | 0.64 | 0.19 | miss | ±11.4% | -26.9% | -25.7% |
| 2024-12-09 | 0.69 | -0.39 | miss | ±12.7% | -16.9% | -24.1% |
| 2024-08-29 | 0.48 | -0.84 | miss | ±11.5% | +18.3% | +18% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MDB is scheduled to report on 2026-08-25, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±15.8% (±$51.5) for MDB's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, MDB has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MDB moved ±20.1% on average versus a ±15.8% implied move — a 1.27× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 88% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MDB's positioning too: MDB gamma exposure → · MDB options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
