The options market is pricing a — move for MNST's 2026-11-05 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MNST has actually moved ±4.8% on average (biggest: ±13.6%). That's a 0.86× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — MNST has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +3.1%).
Longer run: across all 21 reports on record (since 2019-11-07), the options overpriced MNST's move 67% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.88× the implied (mean implied ±6.1%, mean actual ±4.8%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 0.29 | 0.15 | miss | ±6% | -4% | -0.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.27 | 0.29 | beat | ±5.5% | +13.6% | +13% |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.25 | 0.26 | beat | ±6.3% | -1.6% | -11.5% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.24 | 0.28 | beat | ±6.4% | +5.2% | +7.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.24 | 0.26 | beat | ±4.7% | +6.4% | +5.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.23 | 0.24 | beat | ±4.8% | +1.4% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-27 | 0.20 | 0.19 | miss | ±5.9% | +5.3% | +7.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.21 | 0.20 | miss | ±5% | -1.1% | +2.2% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MNST is scheduled to report on 2026-11-05, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show MNST's live.
Over its last 8 reports, MNST has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MNST moved ±4.8% on average versus a ±5.6% implied move — a 0.86× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MNST's positioning too: MNST gamma exposure → · MNST options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.