The options market is pricing a ±19.3% (±$35.31) move for MRVL's 2026-08-27 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, MRVL has actually moved ±13.2% on average (biggest: ±23.2%). That's a 0.69× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — MRVL has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 63% of the time (avg +2.2%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 0.80 | 0.59 | miss | ±10.9% | +3.1% | +51.8% |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.79 | 0.66 | miss | ±8.4% | +18.4% | +15.8% |
| 2025-12-02 | 0.75 | 0.62 | miss | ±9.9% | +7.9% | -4.3% |
| 2025-08-28 | 0.67 | 0.50 | miss | ±7.9% | -18.6% | -17% |
| 2025-05-29 | 0.61 | 0.47 | miss | ±8.6% | -5.6% | +2.2% |
| 2025-03-05 | 0.59 | 0.46 | miss | ±9.8% | -19.9% | -22.5% |
| 2024-12-03 | 0.40 | 0.26 | miss | ±7.9% | +23.2% | +11.2% |
| 2024-08-29 | 0.29 | 0.12 | miss | ±7.5% | +9.2% | +0.1% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
MRVL is scheduled to report on 2026-08-27, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±19.3% (±$35.31) for MRVL's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, MRVL has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, MRVL moved ±13.2% on average versus a ±19.3% implied move — a 0.69× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See MRVL's positioning too: MRVL gamma exposure → · MRVL options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
