The options market is pricing a ±7.6% (±$1.11) move for NU's 2026-08-13 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, NU has actually moved ±5.8% on average (biggest: ±18.9%). That's a 0.76× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — NU has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 38% of the time (avg -1.5%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | 0.20 | 0.19 | miss | ±6.4% | -3.4% | -7.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.18 | 0.19 | beat | ±1.7% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-12 | 0.15 | 0.17 | beat | ±5.9% | -3.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-08-14 | 0.13 | 0.14 | beat | ±6.9% | +9.1% | +13.8% |
| 2025-05-13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | inline | — | +2.7% | -2.8% |
| 2025-02-20 | 0.12 | 0.12 | inline | ±6.1% | -18.9% | -15.7% |
| 2024-11-13 | 0.10 | 0.12 | beat | ±7.1% | -2.9% | -14.8% |
| 2024-08-13 | 0.10 | 0.12 | beat | ±6.3% | +5.3% | +13.7% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
NU is scheduled to report on 2026-08-13, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±7.6% (±$1.11) for NU's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, NU has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, NU moved ±5.8% on average versus a ±7.6% implied move — a 0.76× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See NU's positioning too: NU gamma exposure → · NU options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
