The options market is pricing a — move for NXPI's 2026-10-26 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, NXPI has actually moved ±6.8% on average (biggest: ±25.5%). That's a 0.93× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — NXPI's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 13% of the time (avg -0.4%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | 3.54 | 3.24 | miss | ±12% | -7% | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 2.98 | 2.62 | miss | ±8.2% | +25.5% | +26.9% |
| 2026-02-02 | 3.30 | 3.01 | miss | ±7.2% | -4.5% | -0.9% |
| 2025-10-27 | 3.11 | 2.75 | miss | ±5.6% | -3.9% | -5% |
| 2025-07-21 | 2.66 | 2.31 | miss | ±7.6% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2025-04-28 | 2.59 | 2.17 | miss | ±5.8% | -6.9% | -5.8% |
| 2025-02-03 | 3.14 | 2.83 | miss | ±5.5% | -1.1% | +2.6% |
| 2024-11-04 | 3.43 | 3.03 | miss | ±6.2% | -5.2% | -4.1% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
NXPI is scheduled to report on 2026-10-26, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show NXPI's live.
Over its last 8 reports, NXPI has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, NXPI moved ±6.8% on average versus a ±7.3% implied move — a 0.93× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See NXPI's positioning too: NXPI gamma exposure → · NXPI options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
