The options market is pricing a — move for OKLO's 2026-11-10 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, OKLO has actually moved ±11.1% on average (biggest: ±24.6%). That's a 1.05× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — OKLO's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +0.4%).
Longer run: across all 9 reports on record (since 2024-08-13), the options overpriced OKLO's move 67% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.71× the implied (mean implied ±10.9%, mean actual ±10.2%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | -0.17 | -0.28 | miss | ±7.2% | +14.8% | +10.1% |
| 2026-05-12 | -0.20 | -0.19 | beat | ±9.4% | -5.4% | -24.1% |
| 2026-03-17 | -0.18 | -0.27 | miss | ±8.9% | -6.3% | -9.2% |
| 2025-11-11 | -0.13 | -0.20 | miss | ±10.2% | +6.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.12 | -0.18 | miss | ±11.2% | +9.2% | -4% |
| 2025-05-13 | -0.11 | -0.07 | beat | ±10.9% | +15.5% | +17.3% |
| 2025-03-24 | -0.08 | -0.09 | miss | ±13.2% | -6.4% | -30% |
| 2024-11-14 | -0.08 | -0.08 | inline | ±13.5% | -24.6% | +5.7% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
OKLO is scheduled to report on 2026-11-10, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show OKLO's live.
Over its last 8 reports, OKLO has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, OKLO moved ±11.1% on average versus a ±10.6% implied move — a 1.05× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See OKLO's positioning too: OKLO gamma exposure → · OKLO options flow →
Posting the link is enough — X, Discord and Slack render the live data card automatically.
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
