The options market is pricing a ±4.6% (±$2.55) move for OXY's 2026-08-05 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, OXY has actually moved ±4.5% on average (biggest: ±9.4%). That's a 0.98× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — OXY's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 88% of the time (avg +2.7%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 0.62 | 1.06 | beat | ±4% | -7.1% | -5.2% |
| 2026-02-18 | 0.19 | 0.31 | beat | ±3.3% | +9.4% | +8.1% |
| 2025-11-10 | 0.48 | 0.64 | beat | ±3.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.28 | 0.39 | beat | ±3.4% | +2.5% | +5.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.73 | 0.87 | beat | ±3.3% | +6.2% | +12.3% |
| 2025-02-18 | 0.67 | 0.80 | beat | ±3.6% | +4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | 0.80 | 1.00 | beat | ±4.4% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-07 | 0.77 | 1.03 | beat | ±3.4% | +4.3% | +1.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
OXY is scheduled to report on 2026-08-05, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±4.6% (±$2.55) for OXY's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, OXY has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, OXY moved ±4.5% on average versus a ±4.6% implied move — a 0.98× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See OXY's positioning too: OXY gamma exposure → · OXY options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
