The options market is pricing a ±13.5% (±$0.28) move for PLUG's 2026-08-10 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, PLUG has actually moved ±5.2% on average (biggest: ±23.2%). That's a 0.38× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — PLUG has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 13% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +3.2%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | -0.09 | -0.08 | beat | ±18.4% | +1.1% | -2% |
| 2026-03-02 | -0.10 | -0.06 | beat | ±14.7% | +23.2% | +20.4% |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.13 | -0.12 | beat | ±13.9% | -1.2% | -18.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.15 | -0.16 | miss | ±15.1% | -2.5% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | -0.20 | -0.21 | miss | — | +1.2% | -17.8% |
| 2025-03-04 | -0.23 | -1.65 | miss | ±13% | +8% | +14% |
| 2024-11-12 | -0.24 | -0.25 | miss | ±13.7% | -4% | +0% |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.30 | -0.36 | miss | ±13.1% | +0% | -2.9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
PLUG is scheduled to report on 2026-08-10, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±13.5% (±$0.28) for PLUG's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, PLUG has beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, PLUG moved ±5.2% on average versus a ±13.5% implied move — a 0.38× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 13% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See PLUG's positioning too: PLUG gamma exposure → · PLUG options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
