The options market is pricing a ±10.4% (±$18.48) move for RDDT's 2026-07-30 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, RDDT has actually moved ±13% on average (biggest: ±42%). That's a 1.25× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look underpriced — RDDT has historically moved more than the market prices in, which favors buying premium (long straddle/strangle) into the print. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +7%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 0.62 | 1.01 | beat | ±10.7% | +13.1% | +11.4% |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.96 | 1.24 | beat | ±12.4% | -7.4% | -13.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | 0.52 | 0.80 | beat | ±12.1% | +7.5% | -5.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.20 | 0.45 | beat | ±12.3% | +17.5% | +31.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.02 | 0.13 | beat | ±11.6% | -4.2% | -9.2% |
| 2025-02-12 | 0.25 | 0.36 | beat | ±13.1% | -5.3% | -12.4% |
| 2024-10-29 | -0.08 | 0.16 | beat | ±12.2% | +42% | +50% |
| 2024-08-06 | -0.31 | -0.06 | beat | ±14.4% | -6.8% | +0.3% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
RDDT is scheduled to report on 2026-07-30, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±10.4% (±$18.48) for RDDT's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, RDDT has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, RDDT moved ±13% on average versus a ±10.4% implied move — a 1.25× ratio, so the options have been cheap (it moves more than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See RDDT's positioning too: RDDT gamma exposure → · RDDT options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
