The options market is pricing a — move for RGTI's 2026-11-09 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, RGTI has actually moved ±6.5% on average (biggest: ±14.6%). That's a 0.52× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — RGTI has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 38% of the time (avg -1.8%).
Longer run: across all 16 reports on record (since 2022-05-16), the options overpriced RGTI's move 81% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.46× the implied (mean implied ±18.1%, mean actual ±8.3%), so on this longer sample the options screen rich. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | -0.03 | -0.16 | miss | ±7.3% | +8.5% | +12.6% |
| 2026-05-11 | -0.05 | -0.04 | beat | ±12.2% | -7% | -19% |
| 2026-03-04 | -0.05 | -0.03 | beat | ±9.8% | -4.4% | -4.6% |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.05 | -0.03 | beat | ±11% | -5.1% | -25.4% |
| 2025-08-12 | -0.06 | -0.05 | beat | ±11.5% | +6.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-05-12 | -0.05 | -0.08 | miss | ±13.9% | -14.6% | +4.3% |
| 2025-03-05 | -0.08 | -0.08 | inline | ±15.1% | +3.9% | +9.4% |
| 2024-11-12 | -0.08 | -0.08 | inline | ±19.6% | -2% | -14.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
RGTI is scheduled to report on 2026-11-09, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show RGTI's live.
Over its last 8 reports, RGTI has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, RGTI moved ±6.5% on average versus a ±12.5% implied move — a 0.52× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See RGTI's positioning too: RGTI gamma exposure → · RGTI options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
