The options market is pricing a — move for RIOT's 2026-10-29 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, RIOT has actually moved ±8.1% on average (biggest: ±17.7%). That's a 0.9× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — RIOT's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been negative 25% of the time (avg -4.3%).
Longer run: across all 11 reports on record (since 2019-11-12), the options overpriced RIOT's move 45% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.09× the implied (mean implied ±8%, mean actual ±7%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | -0.39 | -0.68 | miss | ±9.9% | -0.3% | -6.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | -0.33 | -1.44 | miss | ±6.4% | +7.3% | +39.8% |
| 2026-03-02 | -0.22 | -2.03 | miss | ±8.6% | -6.9% | -10.5% |
| 2025-10-30 | -0.19 | 0.26 | beat | ±7.7% | -6.2% | -17.8% |
| 2025-07-31 | -0.19 | 0.57 | beat | ±7.5% | -17.7% | -13.6% |
| 2025-05-01 | -0.25 | -0.90 | miss | ±7.3% | +8% | +8.6% |
| 2025-02-24 | -0.27 | 0.44 | beat | ±14.8% | -6.7% | -11.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | -0.17 | -0.54 | miss | ±10.2% | -11.8% | +16.9% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
RIOT is scheduled to report on 2026-10-29, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show RIOT's live.
Over its last 8 reports, RIOT has beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, RIOT moved ±8.1% on average versus a ±9.1% implied move — a 0.9× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See RIOT's positioning too: RIOT gamma exposure → · RIOT options flow →
Posting the link is enough — X, Discord and Slack render the live data card automatically.
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
