The options market is pricing a ±5.9% (±$14.47) move for ROST's 2026-08-20 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, ROST has actually moved ±5.2% on average (biggest: ±9.8%). That's a 0.88× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — ROST has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 50% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 88% of the time (avg +2.7%).
Longer run: across all 19 reports on record (since 2019-11-21), the options overpriced ROST's move 58% of the time — more often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 0.93× the implied (mean implied ±5.7%, mean actual ±5.4%), so on this longer sample the options screen fairly priced. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | 1.70 | 2.02 | beat | ±4.9% | +8.1% | +4.6% |
| 2026-03-03 | 1.88 | 2.00 | beat | ±6% | +8% | +7.7% |
| 2025-11-20 | 1.40 | 1.58 | beat | ±5.4% | +8.4% | — |
| 2025-08-21 | 1.52 | 1.56 | beat | ±5.6% | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-05-22 | 1.43 | 1.47 | beat | ±4.3% | -9.8% | -8.7% |
| 2025-03-04 | 1.65 | 1.79 | beat | ±6.4% | +2% | -5.4% |
| 2024-11-21 | 1.39 | 1.48 | beat | ±7.2% | +2.2% | — |
| 2024-08-22 | 1.50 | 1.59 | beat | ±5% | +1.8% | -0.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
ROST is scheduled to report on 2026-08-20, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±5.9% (±$14.47) for ROST's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, ROST has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, ROST moved ±5.2% on average versus a ±5.9% implied move — a 0.88× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 50% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See ROST's positioning too: ROST gamma exposure → · ROST options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
