The options market is pricing a ±9.8% (±$49.95) move for SPOT's 2026-10-22 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, SPOT has actually moved ±8.9% on average (biggest: ±14.7%). That's a 0.9× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look fairly priced — SPOT's typical move is roughly in line with what's implied. It has exceeded the implied move in 63% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 38% of the time (avg +1%).
Longer run: across all 19 reports on record (since 2020-02-05), the options overpriced SPOT's move 37% of the time — less often than the 57% market-wide average. Median actual move was 1.34× the implied (mean implied ±8.6%, mean actual ±9.6%), so on this longer sample the options screen cheap. See how that compares across 2,422 prints →
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 3.27 | 3.03 | miss | ±7.2% | -1.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-04-28 | 3.72 | 4.04 | beat | ±8.5% | -12.4% | -11.6% |
| 2026-02-10 | 3.02 | 5.16 | beat | ±8% | +14.7% | — |
| 2025-11-04 | 1.87 | 3.83 | beat | ±8.2% | -2.2% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-29 | 2.13 | -0.48 | miss | ±7.5% | -11.6% | -6% |
| 2025-04-29 | 2.29 | 1.13 | miss | ±9% | -3.5% | +6.7% |
| 2025-02-04 | 1.92 | 1.88 | miss | ±8.9% | +13.2% | +16.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | 1.75 | 1.59 | miss | ±8.5% | +11.4% | +10.6% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
SPOT is scheduled to report on 2026-10-22, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±9.8% (±$49.95) for SPOT's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, SPOT has beaten EPS estimates 38% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, SPOT moved ±8.9% on average versus a ±9.8% implied move — a 0.9× ratio, so the options have been fairly priced. It exceeded the implied move 63% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See SPOT's positioning too: SPOT gamma exposure → · SPOT options flow →
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The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
