The options market is pricing a ±7.8% (±$18.95) move for TTWO's 2026-08-07 · before open report. Over its last 8 reports, TTWO has actually moved ±6.3% on average (biggest: ±14%). That's a 0.81× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — TTWO has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 38% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 38% of the time (avg +0.2%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | 0.58 | 0.46 | miss | ±6.2% | -4.4% | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-03 | 0.83 | 0.83 | inline | ±6.6% | -5.4% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.91 | 1.04 | beat | ±6% | -8.1% | -5.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.27 | 0.43 | beat | ±5.2% | -4% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-15 | 1.08 | 0.73 | miss | ±4.9% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | 0.57 | 0.34 | miss | ±6% | +14% | +14.8% |
| 2024-11-06 | 0.42 | 0.26 | miss | ±5.5% | +7.5% | +9.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.01 | -0.30 | miss | ±5.9% | +4.4% | +5.5% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
TTWO is scheduled to report on 2026-08-07, before the open. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about ±7.8% (±$18.95) for TTWO's upcoming report — the size of the move the ATM straddle is pricing in.
Over its last 8 reports, TTWO has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, TTWO moved ±6.3% on average versus a ±7.8% implied move — a 0.81× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 38% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See TTWO's positioning too: TTWO gamma exposure → · TTWO options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
