The options market is pricing a — move for VKTX's 2026-10-28 · after close report. Over its last 8 reports, VKTX has actually moved ±5.5% on average (biggest: ±21.2%). That's a 0.65× realized-vs-implied ratio, so the options look overpriced — VKTX has historically moved less than what's priced, which favors selling premium (iron condor / credit spreads) if you have an edge. It has exceeded the implied move in 25% of those prints, beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time (8 quarters), and the 1-day reaction has been positive 50% of the time (avg +3.5%).
This is a data-driven edge, not a prediction of direction — earnings are binary events and any single print can gap either way. Position and size accordingly.
| Report | Est EPS | Actual | Result | Implied | 1d move | 1w move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | -1.21 | -1.10 | beat | ±8% | -1% | — |
| 2026-04-29 | -0.95 | -1.37 | miss | ±6.5% | -0.5% | +3% |
| 2026-02-11 | -0.89 | -1.38 | miss | ±8.9% | +6.8% | +5.6% |
| 2025-10-22 | -0.70 | -0.81 | miss | ±7.1% | +8% | +12.1% |
| 2025-07-23 | -0.44 | -0.58 | miss | ±10.2% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2025-04-23 | -0.34 | -0.41 | miss | ±8.9% | -0.5% | +11.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | -0.27 | -0.32 | miss | ±10.1% | -6.1% | -12.5% |
| 2024-10-23 | -0.24 | -0.22 | beat | ±8.2% | +21.2% | +18.8% |
Historical implied vs actual moves & EPS beats/misses via Unusual Whales.
VKTX is scheduled to report on 2026-10-28, after the close. Dates can shift until the company confirms.
The expected move is the size of the post-earnings swing the options market is pricing in (from the ATM straddle). We show VKTX's live.
Over its last 8 reports, VKTX has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time. A beat doesn't guarantee an up move — the reaction depends on guidance and how much was already priced in.
Over the last 8 reports, VKTX moved ±5.5% on average versus a ±8.5% implied move — a 0.65× ratio, so the options have been rich (it moves less than priced). It exceeded the implied move 25% of the time.
Expected moves, gamma levels and the day's setups before the open — free.
See VKTX's positioning too: VKTX gamma exposure → · VKTX options flow →
The premium earnings board ranks every upcoming report by the biggest realized-vs-implied edge — where the options are mispriced vs how the stock actually moves — with the play on each.
Data via Unusual Whales · refreshes each session · educational, not financial advice · earnings are binary events with substantial risk.
